Writing Armageddon

Writing Armageddon
Furious writing or writing furiously?

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Large scale warfare outside Europe in the 1715-1789 period according to Langer.

An overview of large scale warfare outside Europe in the 1715-1789 period according to Langer.
By Konstantinos Travlos

"Those of you who have been following my research (all two of you), know that I am engaged in major data project whose goal is to create a Militarized Dispute (MIDs) Dataset for the 1715-1815 period. My initial forays into this en-devour where more ecumenical with a goal of creating a dataset of wars between polities in the 1715-1815 period on a global level. In the end I decided to put off non-european polities for the future and only focus on the European interstate system as a first step. This was driven primarily by the richer documentation available for Europe in the 1715-1815 period, and the great likelihood of finding non-war MIDs in sources on Europe as opposed to sources on the rest of the world. That said future plans do include a war data-set among polities in the rest of the world for the era. Cleaning up my file folders I found this little piece I had written based on my early explorations. I am putting here for the sake of scholarly curiosity."

The Thai and the Burmese fight 

Sunday, February 14, 2016

Using game theory to determine who will replace Scalia

The sudden death of Supreme Court Justice Scalia - a strict constructionist appointed by Reagan in 1986 - less than a year before a presidential election sent the political world into a tailspin. Ted Cruz, one of the leading Republican candidates for president threw down the gauntlet by calling on the Senate to not confirm any new justice before a new president is elected. President Obama took up the gauntlet by arguing that it is his responsibility to appoint a new justice before his term ends. The death of Justice Scalia became a key topic in the Republican primary debate that took place hours after his death. Thus, in only a few hours the focus of American politics switched from whether it is a good idea to carpet bomb Syria or how to get Mexico to pay for a wall on its border with the US to whether there will be a new supreme court justice before the end of President Obama's presidency.

Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Two interesting blog pieces

Going over my usual round of poli-sci/ir blogs (RelationsInternational, Duck of Minerva, Monkey Cage) I stumbled on two very interesting pieces.

Toal and O'Loughlin discuss some fascinating data they have from surveys conducted in Bosnia-Hezergovina for the 20 year anniversary of the Dayton accords.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/02/02/20-years-after-dayton-heres-what-bosnians-think-about-being-divided-by-ethnicity/

Two things come out of it: 1) The Dayton accords may in the end be the greatest achievement of period of US primacy following the end of the Cold War 2) The Bosnian political system may in the end survive for the same reason the French Third Republic survived. It is the systems that divides the citizens of the country the least.

In the Duck of Minerva, Josh Busby takes on Walt's problematic polemic that Realists are marginalized in academia and the policy world, with a very interesting twist

http://duckofminerva.com/2016/01/speaking-truth-to-power-a-response-to-walts-lamentations.html#more-28492

Worth a read.